ACT-CIS Rep. Erwin Tulfo is Opposition Supporters’ Top Senatorial Bet for 2025 midterm elections

ACT-CIS Rep. Erwin Tulfo is Opposition Supporters’ Top Senatorial Bet for 2025 midterm elections
ACT-CIS Rep. Erwin Tulfo is Opposition Supporters’ Top Senatorial Bet for 2025 midterm elections

ACT-CIS Rep. Erwin Tulfo emerged as the top senatorial candidate preferred by voters who identified as opposition supporters for the 2025 midterm elections, public opinion research firm WR Numero reported.

In its inaugural Philippine Public Opinion Monitor (The Opinion Monitor), WR Numero found that 52.97% of opposition supporters would vote for Tulfo if the elections were held last December 2023. 

He is followed by former senator Antonio Trillanes IV (40.44%), former president Rodrigo Duterte (39.32%), former senator Franklin Drilon (38.60%), former senate president Vicente Sotto III (37.80%), former senator Manny Pacquiao (35.23%), Makati Mayor Abigail Binay (34.18%), former senators Bam Aquino (31.62%), Mar Roxas (31.61), and Panfilo Lacson (31.22%), Senator Pia Cayetano (30.09%), and former vice president Leni Robredo (29.24%).  

Tulfo (23%), however, ranked second to Duterte (28.15%) among opposition supporters when asked who will they vote for sure in the 2025 Senate elections. He is followed by former senate president Vicente Sotto III (20%), Senator Ronald dela Rosa (14.6%), and Davao City-1st District Rep. Paolo Duterte (12.72%).

This nationally-representative survey is conducted face-to-face every quarter among 1,457 Filipino adults, aged 18 years old and above, across the country between 24 November and 24 December 2023. The nationwide survey has a ± 3% error margin at the 99% confidence level. At the sub-national level, the estimates for error margin are ± 9% for the National Capital Region, ± 5% for the rest of Luzon, ± 8% for Visayas, and ± 7% for Mindanao at a similar 99% confidence level. No individual or entity, partisan or otherwise, has singularly commissioned the independent survey.

These findings form part of WR Numero’s flagship public opinion research initiative, the Philippine Public Opinion Monitor on the WR Numero website (www.wrnumero.com). A full report is available to the public on the same date discussing in detail the results of the survey as well as its methodology.

The Opinion Monitor aims to further enrich the Philippine polling landscape by pioneering a survey design that focuses on tracking Filipino voters’ political attitudes and preferences according to partisanship and voter type. This innovation introduces novel demographic groupings that matter most to understanding and analyzing trends in political and social behavior. It also gives attention to new demographic groups, such as different age groups (youth, adult, and senior) and genders (heterosexual, LGBTQIA+, etc.)

Index of Figures 

Hi-resolution files are available for download at tinyurl.com/WRN-PPOM-PR7

Figure 1a. Pre-election preferences for the 2025 Senatorial Elections by Self-Identified Partisanship
Figure 1a. Pre-election preferences for the 2025 Senatorial Elections by Self-Identified Partisanship
Figure 1b. Pre-election preferences for the 2025 Senatorial Elections by Self-Identified Partisanship
Figure 1b. Pre-election preferences for the 2025 Senatorial Elections by Self-Identified Partisanship
Figure 2. Pre-election preferences for the 2025 Senatorial Elections - Will vote for sure by Self-Identified Partisanship
Figure 2. Pre-election preferences for the 2025 Senatorial Elections - Will vote for sure by Self-Identified Partisanship