Senator Raffy Tulfo is opposition supporters’ top pick for the 2028 national elections

Senator Raffy Tulfo is opposition supporters’ top pick for the 2028 national elections
Senator Raffy Tulfo is opposition supporters’ top pick for the 2028 national elections

Senator Raffy Tulfo emerged as the most preferred presidential candidate of opposition supporters for the 2028 national elections, public opinion research firm WR Numero reported.  

In its inaugural Philippine Public Opinion Monitor (The Opinion Monitor), WR Numero found that 35% of respondents who identified as opposition supporters said they would vote for Tulfo if the elections were held last December 2023 (See Figure 1). 

He was followed by former vice president Leni Robredo, who was picked by 23.5% of opposition voters. Vice President Sara Duterte, who was the top candidate of Administration supporters (44.2%), Independent (30.7%), and Unsure (30.9%) voters, placed third among opposition supporters at 17.5% (See Figure 1).

Senator Tulfo was also the top candidate of voters in the Rest of Luzon (26.2%), followed by Duterte (23.4%). Meanwhile, Duterte led in Metro Manila (38.9%), Visayas (34.5%), and Mindanao (57.4%). This is against Tulfo’s 32.8%, 20.5%, and 11.9% in Metro Manila, Visayas, and Mindanao, respectively (See Figure 2). 

This nationally-representative survey is conducted face-to-face every quarter among 1,457 Filipino adults, aged 18 years old and above, across the country between 24 November and 24 December 2023. The nationwide survey has a ± 3% error margin at the 99% confidence level. At the sub-national level, the estimates for error margin are ± 9% for the National Capital Region, ± 5% for the rest of Luzon, ± 8% for Visayas, and ± 7% for Mindanao at a similar 99% confidence level. No individual or entity, partisan or otherwise, has singularly commissioned the independent survey.

These findings form part of WR Numero’s flagship public opinion research initiative, the Philippine Public Opinion Monitor on the WR Numero website (www.wrnumero.com). A full report is available to the public on the same date discussing in detail the results of the survey as well as its methodology.

The Opinion Monitor aims to further enrich the Philippine polling landscape by pioneering a survey design that focuses on tracking Filipino voters’ political attitudes and preferences according to partisanship and voter type. This innovation introduces novel demographic groupings that matter most to understanding and analyzing trends in political and social behavior. It also gives attention to new demographic groups, such as different age groups (youth, adult, and senior) and genders (heterosexual, LGBTQIA+, etc.)

Index of Figures 

Hi-resolution files are available for download  at tinyurl.com/WRN-PPOM-PR4

Figure 1. Pre-election preferences for the 2028 Presidential Elections by Self- Identified Partisanship
Figure 2. Pre-election preferences for the 2028 Presidential Elections by Area